Earnings · resolved market
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23000173fcd3643360e22316e8335a5b15c6a8900428cc21599393e3bdf7e2d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6967…7f28backed No | 9c | 2,534$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.92 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…daffbacked No | 16c | 1,242$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 46c | 908.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.64 | 348 | 36.8%128 W · 220 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c0…4135backed No | 30c | 526$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 24c | 512.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed No | 12c | 431.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 9c | 367.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 306 | 15%46 W · 260 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 19c | 333.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 5c | 326$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…8bc6backed No | 45c | 303.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0bbabacked No | 9c | 232.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 8c | 222.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 26c | 216.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 676 | 42.9%290 W · 386 L | -36.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 14c | 124.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 29c | 117.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 112.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 31c | 102.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb5…b3a4backed No | 30c | 99.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe690…f448backed No | 31c | 95.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…2fe9backed Yes | 59c | 84.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…98eebacked No | 36c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…7601backed Yes | 70c | 71.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed No | 22c | 70.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +87%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 73c | 69.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked No | 47c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…ce19backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 78c | 62.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 40c | 60.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked Yes | 30c | 38.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +238%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 29.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…90a6backed Yes | 68c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…ea0cbacked Yes | 74c | 25.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed Yes | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…313fbacked Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 77c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 79c | 13.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.