Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe0a7dde9dde30512aac0d50933000c2e7f4f3fae97600f5ca1ec8545ce8b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7478…b748backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f5…7b42backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 9,439$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Dons | 5c | 1,961$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 1,958$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Dons | 8c | 1,798$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 1,667$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked San Francisco Dons | 10c | 1,550$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,280$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 988.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked San Francisco Dons | 11c | 919.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 846.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed San Francisco Dons | 5c | 727$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Francisco Dons | 3c | 661.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed San Francisco Dons | 4c | 576.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked San Francisco Dons | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed San Francisco Dons | 4c | 428.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…0f9bbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 339.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed San Francisco Dons | 8c | 303.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 243$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 237.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6212…4eb3backed San Francisco Dons | 7c | 211.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Dons | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5442…2f88backed San Francisco Dons | 11c | 178.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 145$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 119.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 80c | 48.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Donsthis page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 148.5Under won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 149.5Under won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. San Francisco Dons: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-14.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-15.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.