Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd36d8a8c113eeb5e5546cc503fcfafc33bc323b0e3d6e9443ca448160a7ded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0c3…3eb1backed Yes | 2c | 1,406$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…a733backed Yes | 10c | 1,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 622.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 7c | 570.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…2e0abacked Yes | 8c | 462.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 442.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 399.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…a187backed Yes | 5c | 365.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…85edbacked Yes | 6c | 362.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 6c | 307.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4519…062bbacked Yes | 8c | 252.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 7c | 245.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 7c | 219.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…008bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…8c6bbacked Yes | 9c | 136.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +115%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…90b6backed Yes | 9c | 107.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…3c0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.