TailMyPicks
Market

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,526

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x134a…9e42backed No0c26,806$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.356238.7%24 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked No32c9,455$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.245927.1%16 W · 43 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31a9…8266backed No5c4,000$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9560%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe598…a0a8backed No0c3,912$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.745623.2%13 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff05…fad7backed No1c3,311$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99190%0 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No4c3,209$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.381,5587.2%112 W · 1,446 L-35.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No6c3,165$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.984531.1%14 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f9…a3c5backed No1c2,686$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.02922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a16…ad87backed No0c2,452$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf603…82f1backed No13c2,000$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.992213.6%3 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3060…54babacked No9c1,651$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.34922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4344…f90dbacked Yes22c1,086$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.4512138.8%47 W · 74 L+11.3wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No4c1,008$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.892384.6%11 W · 227 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9a…0727backed No4c1,001$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…351dbacked No5c987.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce4…36a6backed Yes44c941.67$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5301952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+355.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2218…50b1backed No4c937.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes56c890.01$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39022529.8%67 W · 158 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No4c851.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.261520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd47…acddbacked No5c786.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes70c777$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.151138.7%198 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd4…1b34backed No7c763.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes47c750.22$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9138247.6%182 W · 200 L+37.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf379…36c0backed No4c736.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5180…116abacked No4c709.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b7…9bd3backed No2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b9…cd7cbacked Yes73c682.1$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb13…2de9backed Yes55c601.95$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb10c…6d2cbacked No63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378922.2%2 W · 7 L-4.2wins-0.46per pick68cpaid-68.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x4cd2…a384backed No4c594$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.76425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…0869backed Yes68c548.76$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No19c540.45$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6989617.1%153 W · 743 L-57.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24d5…c4c0backed Yes54c520$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes8c516.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9315523.2%36 W · 119 L+12.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+64.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No49c506.62$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8626138.7%101 W · 160 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0f…b757backed No3c501.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes63c501.15$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18727643.5%120 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…cb84backed No4c415.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a56…7616backed No3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No47c399.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6615951.6%82 W · 77 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36da…8218backed No13c399.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.59532.6%31 W · 64 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x793c…e8dabacked No5c396.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.681520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff1…675ebacked No4c376.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f6…a410backed No6c350$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No40c308.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.632345.2%146 W · 177 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No10c306.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.687135.6%40 W · 673 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f6…19d5backed No8c305.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f7…74ebbacked No4c289.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Yes9c277.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.783148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6186…c98abacked No5c277.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0978…3137backed Yes74c252.07$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.421478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes39c245.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.633622.2%8 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca16…f878backed Yes76c245.11$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.416952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b52…d558backed No55c242.91$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.11560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…49d8backed No21c237.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e14…86f0backed Yes70c227.3$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.19875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes56c220.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.693076.7%23 W · 7 L+6.7wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+50%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xc80b…4d0bbacked Yes71c212.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.282634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6560…e164backed Yes64c210.02$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.058452.4%44 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c202.96$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.335646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…5007backed No13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256546.2%30 W · 35 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+92.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf373…4780backed No6c171.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Yes32c160$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c8…f511backed Yes34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995532.7%18 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes36c148.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9822846.1%105 W · 123 L+22.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78b3…b95abacked Yes66c148.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.543158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Yes34c143.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No40c138.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1485725.2%216 W · 641 L-115.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-43.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4992…9cd4backed Yes69c137.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.686457.8%37 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.367657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe876…42b6backed Yes79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-81.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes76c128.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8625339.5%100 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…4b39backed No64c119.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No79c119$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0186542.3%366 W · 499 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes35c113.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4613250%66 W · 66 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49d2…cd9cbacked No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101693.6%6 W · 163 L-0.8wins0.00per pick4cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.128734.5%99 W · 188 L+21.3wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f49…9f20backed Yes34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+82.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47e7…7c61backed No24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511554.8%63 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a33…a5f7backed No28c89.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed No23c86.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-89.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Yes60c83.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.341464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes37c80.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfd…5728backed Yes35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52450%2 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+198.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes52c76.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.493756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes71c76.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1621537.7%81 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes63c69.4$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2615324.8%38 W · 115 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed No21c69.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7312433.1%41 W · 83 L-12.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes43c59.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.533336.4%12 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x78bd…300dbacked Yes71c57.73$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes63c56.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817449.4%86 W · 88 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8092…b8a2backed Yes70c43.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.966939.1%27 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e8…38b0backed No46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…5409backed Yes70c38.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2815238.2%58 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e67…77adbacked No28c37.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.457553.3%40 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe474…9b56backed No53c30.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2044…734cbacked Yes36c28.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed Yes69c27.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.535463%34 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.