Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a0b8b20b9d6c0bb0ea454d4e58442021f711a7cb28f2c0024a5ed654c8a1da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97e3…460ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,125$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,050$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 0c | 3,021$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed Yes | 10c | 2,681$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +355.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…e4a8backed Yes | 32c | 2,423$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 2c | 2,274$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 9c | 2,229$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 76c | 1,827$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.83 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…a5f7backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked Yes | 6c | 1,293$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 919$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 11c | 907.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed Yes | 9c | 850$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed Yes | 10c | 824.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 15c | 798$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 77c | 777.46$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 17c | 589.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 2c | 427.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +12.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed No | 80c | 386$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 374.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 15c | 304.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 52c | 299.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 245.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 17c | 242.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked No | 79c | 208.02$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 7c | 186$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 16c | 99.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…0f43backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ca…c1d1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 78c | 61.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 19c | 56.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…ca09backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…1943backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | -12.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc656…c9fdbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…61dabacked Yes | 49c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…fa31backed No | 72c | 21.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc95…8e36backed No | 74c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.