Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a808da49133031a568764010d1347560d8b275b9253c77715b6f5bd1ad72666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,354$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cc…1733backed Yes | 4c | 2,636$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…9732backed Yes | 2c | 2,050$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…3eb1backed Yes | 2c | 1,152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,040$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…d582backed Yes | 3c | 762.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 591.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 585.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb355…98eebacked Yes | 3c | 459.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 34c | 438.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92da…5b8dbacked Yes | 5c | 403.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 30c | 353.76$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 5c | 320.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…85edbacked Yes | 6c | 315.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44c…a733backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…fe97backed Yes | 7c | 266.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 16c | 239.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 222.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 5c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 2.8%4 W · 140 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 187.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 12c | 184$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 13c | 169.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…4a36backed Yes | 13c | 151.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…1eedbacked Yes | 14c | 147.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 23c | 131.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 118.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…c7f2backed Yes | 19c | 117.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 30c | 115.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…4adbbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…788bbacked Yes | 11c | 97.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 32c | 82.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cad…2e0abacked Yes | 19c | 77.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…2a09backed Yes | 34c | 73.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…27d7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…90b6backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…3d2cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4519…062bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 70c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…c967backed No | 71c | 38.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -16.0wins | -0.39per pick | 63cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 23-0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…b9d3backed No | 71c | 33.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f5…693fbacked Yes | 31c | 33.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds by February 13, 2026?this page
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by February 13, 2026?No won
- Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by February 13, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.