Us Politics · resolved market
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bf692fa65d32064b9c05751220e50134ebf057ed0e3281f0342ba06b23011da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 22c | 16,039$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.63 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 77c | 12,448$9,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.52 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 78c | 11,433$8,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.16 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 2c | 10,167$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 7,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed No | 22c | 7,379$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…15aebacked No | 1c | 7,166$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…7c0abacked Yes | 69c | 6,374$4,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…79d9backed Yes | 77c | 5,311$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 0c | 4,912$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 78c | 4,608$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.13 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf0…08a1backed Yes | 66c | 3,456$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 4c | 3,113$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed No | 22c | 3,019$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 17c | 2,664$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.82 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 28c | 2,500$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…d820backed No | 11c | 2,298$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 66c | 2,056$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.15 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…a2dcbacked Yes | 73c | 1,861$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked No | 29c | 1,740$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d24…1ac2backed No | 22c | 1,727$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 77c | 1,720$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.11 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…ff2cbacked No | 1c | 1,589$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked No | 2c | 1,252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…a739backed Yes | 76c | 1,199$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked No | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 1,099$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 73c | 1,091$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.78 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 30c | 1,078$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.93 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 1,041$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 19c | 801.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 75c | 775.15$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.61 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 27c | 756.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.21 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 755.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…f9babacked Yes | 79c | 755.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…0e3cbacked No | 24c | 749.59$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed No | 19c | 723.05$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Yes | 80c | 720.29$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…77f2backed No | 34c | 702.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83cd…dbadbacked No | 2c | 668$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 61c | 644.55$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 23c | 633.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…f7a9backed Yes | 69c | 631.59$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 25c | 623.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.83 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed No | 22c | 596.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 20c | 583.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…b297backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…e731backed No | 8c | 491.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked No | 2c | 491.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…816abacked No | 3c | 458.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked Yes | 52c | 443.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…9b55backed No | 18c | 435.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…f3d2backed Yes | 56c | 410.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…b835backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed Yes | 80c | 375.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 17c | 367$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 122 | 7.4%9 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 6c | 361.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…dfa7backed No | 27c | 359.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 77c | 357$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 31c | 353.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 23c | 349.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 62c | 332.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db2…9dc4backed Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 75c | 309.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed No | 19c | 307.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 29c | 306.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…8f83backed Yes | 70c | 293.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…f310backed No | 19c | 264.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 38c | 262.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 5c | 255.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 28c | 247.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…0479backed Yes | 76c | 244.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed Yes | 62c | 242.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b24ebacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 7c | 197.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 197.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 17c | 192.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 79c | 192$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc21…8e31backed No | 65c | 184.92$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 11c | 183.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 25c | 180.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 179.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 59c | 178.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5f17backed Yes | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 70c | 158.7$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…7420backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…cfdebacked Yes | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 68c | 146.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…2f90backed Yes | 68c | 146.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…825ebacked No | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 23c | 133.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766f…37dfbacked No | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60a…90a7backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed Yes | 61c | 124.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 19c | 115.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…68bcbacked Yes | 76c | 110.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?this page
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 21, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 22, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 23, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 25, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 26, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 29, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?No won
- Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.