AI · resolved market
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefe45a72f6cfcb48c182b9c0c0b0fd1b5b4160e7233e75dcb6fc5d171495df9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,405 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed No | 57c | 2,753$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.09 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 64c | 2,670$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.74 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…1434backed No | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…a83fbacked No | 62c | 2,239$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,187$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.39 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 54c | 2,158$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,901$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.21 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 35c | 1,833$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.09 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 13c | 1,775$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 32c | 1,443$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.32 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 66c | 1,062$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.1 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f6…3075backed No | 58c | 1,000$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed No | 65c | 919.98$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed No | 74c | 835.4$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 47c | 802.94$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…c537backed No | 69c | 700.78$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 658.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 33c | 647.1$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa881…cd20backed Yes | 34c | 642.95$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 605.44$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 57c | 429.74$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…4cccbacked No | 39c | 393.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 15c | 323.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 8c | 266.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee2…e71fbacked Yes | 8c | 242.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 8c | 242.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 240.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed Yes | 23c | 230.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0fbdbacked No | 76c | 226.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…66a2backed No | 65c | 225.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…8961backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…7148backed Yes | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 196.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed No | 42c | 177.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed No | 63c | 176.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…0ab8backed Yes | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d2…0bc0backed Yes | 15c | 163.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…10f5backed No | 16c | 160.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40f…f707backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 18c | 153.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 18c | 153$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 41c | 149.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…e99bbacked Yes | 70c | 143.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 29c | 137.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…b13abacked Yes | 46c | 135.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed No | 69c | 134.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 54c | 128.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 15c | 125.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked No | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7b…9cd5backed No | 61c | 113.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 13c | 113.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Yes | 46c | 109.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b27…7495backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…c1d4backed No | 62c | 106.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 45c | 104.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Yes | 41c | 100.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…aaf1backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb35…ea7cbacked Yes | 43c | 93.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 37c | 91.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 87.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 16c | 87.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 43c | 86.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 53c | 76.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed No | 77c | 76.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +304.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…76e8backed No | 44c | 69.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…8692backed No | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…953fbacked No | 30c | 67.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 53c | 66.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…be6ebacked No | 60c | 66.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 41c | 66.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…9938backed No | 77c | 65.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…61c3backed No | 55c | 62.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…0854backed No | 60c | 61.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 50c | 60.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 59.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c6…8390backed No | 53c | 53.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed No | 56c | 53.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…2566backed No | 65c | 53.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…68bfbacked No | 58c | 51.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…891ebacked No | 59c | 50.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…adfbbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea8…1f9fbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…90bbbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 25c | 46.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed No | 39c | 45.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +478.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 71c | 44.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…3975backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 50c | 41.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…9e91backed No | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 44c | 40.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -19.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…29bfbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 48c | 40.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 46c | 40.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e267backed No | 37c | 40.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…c22cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.