Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49a9c6781863b791f685118dcf35133378b6db80b483362d4144e79dc9c75f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,847 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked No | 40c | 54,767$21,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,876.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 40,057$22,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,655.6 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 39c | 21,105$8,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,925.95 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…8ad8backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 59c | 7,128$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,211.13 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 5,547$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.78 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 60c | 4,449$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 2,173$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.82 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 59c | 2,064$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 7c | 1,029$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 962.29$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 57c | 878.76$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 764.39$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 39c | 600$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.99 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 61c | 524.46$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.92 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 62c | 507.05$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 490.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Yes | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 61c | 441$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 61c | 435$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 411.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…9098backed No | 37c | 366.78$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…cf04backed Yes | 62c | 364.06$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 56c | 360.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 61c | 359$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa059…a6e6backed No | 37c | 356.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079b…a00ebacked Yes | 62c | 356.12$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…0d13backed Yes | 62c | 348.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…321fbacked Yes | 62c | 343.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5c…e2a3backed Yes | 62c | 342.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…dababacked Yes | 62c | 341.19$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…c929backed Yes | 62c | 335.71$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…e506backed Yes | 62c | 333.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…9b30backed Yes | 62c | 330.66$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…fde2backed Yes | 62c | 328.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8560…3df4backed Yes | 62c | 327.34$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…a2ddbacked Yes | 62c | 327.26$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 62c | 324.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…5e8cbacked Yes | 62c | 291.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…9d70backed No | 37c | 281.59$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 249.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 42c | 243.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 34c | 210.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 39c | 201$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…530abacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 33c | 196.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 180.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 64c | 173.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 62c | 169.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 61c | 163.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3131backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…6c02backed Yes | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…bf29backed Yes | 64c | 156.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 62c | 155$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 148.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 19c | 144.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 52c | 138.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 15c | 137.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…eddcbacked Yes | 64c | 133.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…63ddbacked Yes | 64c | 130.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…0bdcbacked No | 37c | 129.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…cb52backed Yes | 64c | 129.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked No | 39c | 128.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf589…2d92backed No | 37c | 126.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 60c | 117.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 59c | 117.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 62c | 117.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…0061backed Yes | 64c | 116.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…6089backed Yes | 64c | 106.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 57c | 106.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…e391backed Yes | 64c | 106.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 35c | 104.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…6b3bbacked Yes | 64c | 99.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 61c | 89.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…dc0cbacked Yes | 64c | 87.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…49c7backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.