MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool A: Cuba vs. Colombia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84fd590962636ec63921ba32a472c68ee5510cb7a95e53bb8a4f111216dc515a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubaof Cuba, Colombia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,968 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Colombia | 34c | 23,767$7,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,971.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Cuba | 65c | 9,185$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Cuba | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Colombia | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Colombia | 31c | 3,848$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Cuba | 70c | 3,690$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cuba | 73c | 2,962$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Cuba | 66c | 2,819$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.37 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Cuba | 66c | 2,625$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.39 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cuba | 76c | 1,205$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.22 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colombia | 29c | 1,117$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.31 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colombia | 9c | 902.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Colombia | 2c | 890.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Cuba | 73c | 787$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.75 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Cuba | 66c | 759.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Colombia | 29c | 729.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Colombia | 26c | 695.12$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.78 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Cuba | 70c | 671.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cuba | 69c | 655.86$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colombia | 30c | 640.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Cuba | 75c | 615.52$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Colombia | 25c | 600.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6c…d41abacked Cuba | 73c | 547.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…61fcbacked Cuba | 67c | 535.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Colombia | 32c | 516$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Colombia | 21c | 509.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 149 | 24.2%36 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Cuba | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colombia | 12c | 486.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Cuba | 68c | 481$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Cuba | 68c | 467.15$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.49 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…1432backed Cuba | 78c | 461.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cuba | 70c | 402.67$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cuba | 73c | 388$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Cuba | 66c | 379.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Colombia | 25c | 360.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colombia | 8c | 360.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Cuba | 70c | 328$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cuba | 72c | 297$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Cuba | 74c | 290$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Cuba | 71c | 282.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Colombia | 40c | 282.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Colombia | 7c | 253.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Cuba | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Colombia | 26c | 237.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Colombia | 24c | 228.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Cuba | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…dc27backed Cuba | 66c | 220.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Cuba | 66c | 220$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Cuba | 70c | 214.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Colombia | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Colombia | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Colombia | 28c | 188$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cuba | 67c | 187.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Colombia | 31c | 170.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Colombia | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Colombia | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Cuba | 72c | 160.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cuba | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cuba | 65c | 145.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Cuba | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Colombia | 30c | 139.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Colombia | 37c | 139.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cuba | 79c | 119.57$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Colombia | 13c | 119.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Cuba | 77c | 119$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 59cpaid | +80%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cuba | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…1189backed Colombia | 38c | 107.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Colombia | 25c | 102.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Cuba | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Cuba | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Colombia | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Cuba | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Cuba | 71c | 98.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Colombia | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Colombia | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…8b6fbacked Cuba | 68c | 94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Colombia | 22c | 89.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…5394backed Colombia | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbe…8918backed Cuba | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cuba | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d67…d714backed Cuba | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colombia | 17c | 79.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Colombia | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…46f4backed Cuba | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…2d07backed Cuba | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fc…ea73backed Cuba | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66dd…893dbacked Cuba | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Colombia | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Colombia | 36c | 58.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd21a…295abacked Cuba | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Cuba | 70c | 45.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colombia | 35c | 40.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Cuba | 70c | 40.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Cuba | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked Cuba | 73c | 36.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Colombia | 32c | 36.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Cuba | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cuba | 73c | 30.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Cuba | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce8…240cbacked Cuba | 70c | 24.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.