La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5267e667f96b4d0e877be806e944e0bfc9348cf63ce95c91c747cf0e99d2c9d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 5,047$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.84 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,495$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 662.12$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 540.36$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 497.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 25c | 311.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 158.07$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 120.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 109$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0348…3d81backed Yes | 11c | 107.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 25c | 76.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 80c | 70.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 62.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 76c | 59.56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 26c | 50.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 49.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 46.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 80c | 46.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 23c | 45.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 78c | 43.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 36.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 36.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 36.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 80c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.