Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ce3f073e18c4acf4b8413146a40aac700b7a75812f1b6f6dd0e1b1c900e52b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,851 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,616$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 1,178$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.64 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 45c | 668.36$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 66c | 501.23$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 415.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 24c | 236.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked No | 55c | 229.67$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 35c | 149$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes | 45c | 148.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 90.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 12c | 89.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 48c | 62.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 54.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…45c2backed Yes | 38c | 54.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 39c | 46.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 68c | 39.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 37.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 54c | 34.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ecb…26a9backed No | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…65d0backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 61c | 21.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 55c | 20.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 56c | 18.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.