TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,029 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c2,900$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.7934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under77c2,600$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5983167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over68c2,302$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.331833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under47c2,225$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c2,168$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.332,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under78c2,009$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.982171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c1,912$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.7793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Over66c1,484$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under20c1,462$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.324744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over56c1,174$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.923565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over23c1,069$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over24c1,036$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c875.58$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over48c838.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Under77c760.57$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.939440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x837b…33bebacked Over55c582.34$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under77c545.45$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.457464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over62c516.92$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c64…0d1fbacked Under10c499.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+3,650%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab1…875bbacked Under10c499.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.993100%3 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+2,733.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd98f…4273backed Under10c478.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.63475%3 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.67per pick8cpaid+2,025%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c400$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7537…801dbacked Under10c300$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+1,751.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over45c299.94$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.973050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over16c278.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under77c259.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.871163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over72c214$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9611964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1087424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…20e7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under48c199.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.74136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x468d…cf23backed Over45c190$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Under76c182.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8214249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.823435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under18c173.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.552123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under55c159.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.73271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf268…1763backed Over49c158.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over53c149.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.511268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over70c143.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over68c123.53$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c121.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8818055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over58c119.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.595540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over41c115.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1812035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2234backed Under39c110$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over17c103$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5115041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa0…441abacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Under17c99.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.631978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+105.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over16c70.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over44c68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.29661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over57c53.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under48c53.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9515259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Over47c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0086…83fcbacked Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over50c48.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6718125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over24c47.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.448143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under73c47.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.916960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02cf…813cbacked Over68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over23c44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1227226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over41c43.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over49c42.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.793333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c39.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.07850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7f…3006backed Under56c37.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under67c37.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a93…36babacked Over60c35.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over51c34.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.69825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over58c33.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under54c32.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.93324.2%8 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked Over50c31.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207661.8%47 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under42c26.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.256267.7%42 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over61c21.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-76.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Under77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.482475%18 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32a8…98a7backed Under76c17.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.