Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a42692eeae022ab407c4f35ca03a188021a54a587582b0fa0a97152ae70187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hynek Bartonof Hynek Barton, Daniel Dutra da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 5c | 4,767$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 3c | 2,047$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 4c | 1,700$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hynek Barton | 80c | 1,396$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Hynek Barton | 79c | 1,133$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Hynek Barton | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 26c | 775.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hynek Barton | 71c | 680.38$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 600.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 3c | 577.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 402$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hynek Barton | 73c | 231.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 198.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 34c | 169.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 28c | 169.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 50c | 147.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hynek Barton | 51c | 127.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 52c | 115.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Hynek Barton | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hynek Barton | 72c | 69.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 28c | 62.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 55.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Hynek Barton | 75c | 53.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 24c | 49.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Hynek Barton | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 25c | 43.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 33.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Hynek Barton | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hynek Barton | 73c | 28.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…2c73backed Hynek Barton | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Hynek Barton | 55c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Hynek Barton | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.