TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes27c8,971$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.086942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No73c3,646$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.1824052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes17c3,604$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.291,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Yes5c3,569$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.43540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+292.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes11c3,430$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.32360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes21c3,422$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.625330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes20c2,125$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42512738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,773$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Yes18c1,594$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes3c1,312$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No79c1,251$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.145846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No73c1,232$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.983154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes20c1,126$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.055238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c1,060$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27026346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes21c930.29$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.365046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c664.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes11c627.54$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9833145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes12c605.16$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.163716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c554.54$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4530448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c534.19$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No73c513.7$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.77953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7065…5292backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab09…d48fbacked Yes20c492.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No79c489$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6918046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes19c450$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…99e2backed No79c379$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.59366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9bc…b282backed Yes20c325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+115.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes18c324$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.328644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No75c307$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.982744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes16c260$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6854…67d0backed No72c239.13$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes18c225.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes21c223.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes22c220$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Yes16c220$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No72c206.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.436642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes17c201.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.194837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c200.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No74c140.88$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.637149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…4e46backed No80c138.75$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+101.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No74c134$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c132.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5712963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No80c131.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Yes21c131.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes14c123.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes19c105.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202425%6 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+105.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No77c101$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.232544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ed…687ebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c99.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No79c98.23$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.631855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes21c95.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes21c95.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No80c93.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.663852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Yes21c91.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Yes18c86.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.462748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No68c81.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.913144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes19c80.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c7…c6bdbacked No50c80.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a0…e45ebacked No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe08d…7b1bbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7de…2b59backed Yes17c78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes20c74.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.897755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No75c65.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.14748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7726845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No64c61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No73c60$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d9…d702backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed No66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes19c57.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes20c57.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5926660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Yes19c56.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.451414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes20c52.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x928d…c482backed No73c42.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No80c41.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4416644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…a18abacked Yes30c40.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No80c19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.810960.6%66 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe176…5818backed No80c17.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No80c16.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2210248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked No80c15.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.042157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.158643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.