Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669c7d42960966b58e2ee97fc986656a51813b3d643d6b4c168dad4246b5692e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 2c | 9,498$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 5,319$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.35 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 13c | 3,600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 14c | 2,793$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,511$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,376$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,015$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Yes | 13c | 900$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 14c | 781.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 15c | 626.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 582$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 13c | 472.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 420.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 14c | 386$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 279.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 248$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 14c | 239.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 8c | 205.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Yes | 14c | 182.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 162$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 14c | 159.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes | 14c | 158.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b33…8c31backed Yes | 15c | 119.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 13c | 115.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 14c | 96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 14c | 85.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 14c | 72.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.