TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$136,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes70c28,641$20,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,628.822334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No30c24,626$7,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,388.0724657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes68c23,015$15,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,282.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No32c21,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.976940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c10,248$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.995641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No31c7,186$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.731040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes69c4,622$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.671457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No2c4,010$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.720033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2407945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No30c3,989$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.543348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb9…5a12backed Yes68c3,302$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No32c2,160$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.058558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81df…d751backed Yes70c1,862$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.256100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes69c1,847$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.186243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes68c1,588$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.162770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No32c1,243$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked No32c759.38$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes69c750$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes69c724.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.664969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c607.51$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2522551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.715451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes70c578.94$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.684134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No18c552.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No31c535.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0812452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f2…212ebacked Yes68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes70c429.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.476165.6%40 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No30c417$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.14052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes79c365.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.991,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes68c357$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.241457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No13c350$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9828445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No15c314.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.211323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes68c306.89$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.24953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No30c299.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9012540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…6448backed Yes69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No32c263.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.373171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes70c213.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.013250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No31c192$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Yes76c173.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.261729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Yes69c166.8$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.711080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No31c164$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No32c159.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes68c152$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6413840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0626744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No31c119.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0812923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.77450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.946553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes69c101.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.471346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…06f9backed Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No30c88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes69c82.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes68c79.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4113752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No31c78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.182445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes68c76.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.47862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1700…54d9backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed Yes69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8657…5741backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2584…bfb1backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.73855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.77138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No30c49.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.834261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No31c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8828458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No32c46.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0310163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked Yes68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…03dbbacked Yes68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No28c36.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.236053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.234463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2310147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd229…8917backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.998456%47 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee0…9562backed Yes69c20.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes69c20.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…35f7backed Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ff…3eafbacked Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…cd54backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+102.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes68c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x753b…1b94backed Yes68c16.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes79c14.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.043551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.