NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x487f32542a6c2b5aa69ca3aee051be84b6ddc6e01569ad7bc1c05031e22b25bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 5.5of Over 5.5, Under 5.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5878…c3e0backed Under 5.5 | 0c | 9,133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Under 5.5 | 67c | 4,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.97 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Over 5.5 | 51c | 2,722$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.24 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68de…d6abbacked Under 5.5 | 1c | 2,458$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed Under 5.5 | 45c | 2,226$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.17 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed Over 5.5 | 54c | 1,279$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.97 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…fcedbacked Over 5.5 | 37c | 1,011$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…d454backed Under 5.5 | 32c | 968.51$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked Over 5.5 | 33c | 906.84$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.65 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Over 5.5 | 32c | 795$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.55 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Over 5.5 | 67c | 741.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Under 5.5 | 30c | 727.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.69 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over 5.5 | 42c | 640.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.74 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…4a6bbacked Under 5.5 | 67c | 486.25$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Over 5.5 | 34c | 436.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.97 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Under 5.5 | 67c | 399.6$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over 5.5 | 75c | 398$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under 5.5 | 23c | 346.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under 5.5 | 8c | 296.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2432…ae39backed Over 5.5 | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaaf…20c0backed Under 5.5 | 74c | 268.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa618…bf33backed Over 5.5 | 79c | 252.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5582…d24ebacked Over 5.5 | 48c | 233.97$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over 5.5 | 74c | 224.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over 5.5 | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Over 5.5 | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed Over 5.5 | 30c | 182.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under 5.5 | 69c | 176.17$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…bef4backed Over 5.5 | 59c | 168.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over 5.5 | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Over 5.5 | 34c | 147.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…75c7backed Over 5.5 | 34c | 147.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…8b90backed Under 5.5 | 73c | 125.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over 5.5 | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under 5.5 | 34c | 110.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over 5.5 | 70c | 105.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…2586backed Under 5.5 | 73c | 102.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbb…77eebacked Over 5.5 | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe869…1d79backed Over 5.5 | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Under 5.5 | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over 5.5 | 32c | 94.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over 5.5 | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over 5.5 | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…877bbacked Over 5.5 | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under 5.5 | 39c | 76.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Over 5.5 | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Over 5.5 | 32c | 52.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…c7b9backed Over 5.5 | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…c05cbacked Under 5.5 | 54c | 36.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Under 5.5 | 38c | 34.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Over 5.5 | 34c | 32.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…04abbacked Under 5.5 | 47c | 31.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81d…af54backed Over 5.5 | 72c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…b32dbacked Over 5.5 | 77c | 25.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a2…051bbacked Over 5.5 | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2308…e2dcbacked Under 5.5 | 53c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Under 5.5 | 66c | 18.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Under 5.5 | 68c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over 5.5 | 68c | 15.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.