Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Slovenia vs Poland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e94e542cbf7868c32b7db222ca6519e1d7014e06be5b33a20a6c94088d89446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polandof Slovenia, Poland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Poland | 41c | 1,848$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Poland | 39c | 1,678$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Slovenia | 1c | 1,097$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Slovenia | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f587backed Slovenia | 72c | 695.83$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Slovenia | 60c | 648.21$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Slovenia | 47c | 543.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Slovenia | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Poland | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Poland | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Slovenia | 65c | 384.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Slovenia | 67c | 378.11$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Slovenia | 63c | 305.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Poland | 35c | 285.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Poland | 57c | 281.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81de…6f1fbacked Slovenia | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…c8a2backed Slovenia | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…05f2backed Slovenia | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…9c42backed Slovenia | 62c | 122.7$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Poland | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Poland | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…5f1ebacked Slovenia | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…f59fbacked Poland | 32c | 65.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe979…1837backed Slovenia | 54c | 51.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Slovenia | 65c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Poland | 35c | 47.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Poland | 32c | 42.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Slovenia | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a703backed Slovenia | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Slovenia | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Slovenia | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…7761backed Poland | 42c | 25.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Poland | 71c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78b2…26abbacked Slovenia | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…6744backed Slovenia | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.