TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Daniel Galan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Daniel Galan26c5,402$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.228,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jan Choinski66c3,803$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.344,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Galan36c2,316$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.098,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Daniel Galan31c1,812$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.914,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jan Choinski70c1,771$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Jan Choinski60c1,626$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.532755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Jan Choinski55c908.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40936157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Daniel Galan23c780.46$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.711,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Daniel Galan19c771.93$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5925234.1%86 W · 166 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Jan Choinski70c695.37$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.373732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Galan34c677.3$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.294,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Galan19c606.14$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.926,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jan Choinski52c602.23$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.952,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Jan Choinski70c557.21$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.2115854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Galan28c527.77$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.279,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Daniel Galan34c385.84$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.191435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2b…769cbacked Daniel Galan52c343$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Daniel Galan51c327.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.811,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Jan Choinski50c320.37$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.585,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jan Choinski18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24658639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Daniel Galan21c244.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5253736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Jan Choinski68c236.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4356070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Daniel Galan9c230$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Daniel Galan41c202.37$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Daniel Galan27c199.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.091,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Daniel Galan58c171.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Daniel Galan28c170.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.022,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Daniel Galan59c170.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Jan Choinski74c168.11$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5413268.9%91 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Jan Choinski60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6743449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jan Choinski73c158.29$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.767,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Jan Choinski75c158$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409952.5%52 W · 47 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea60…cc6bbacked Daniel Galan27c156$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.124358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Daniel Galan31c140.93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5319051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Daniel Galan10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Jan Choinski43c139.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.532,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Jan Choinski41c131.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4785634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jan Choinski40c126.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.816,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Daniel Galan57c124.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3849142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Daniel Galan44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Jan Choinski45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1164637.2%240 W · 406 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Daniel Galan73c107.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.791,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Daniel Galan57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5756062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Jan Choinski16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Daniel Galan21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Jan Choinski75c94.96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9635753.8%192 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Daniel Galan32c93.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Daniel Galan55c92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.922,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Jan Choinski75c86.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6718557.8%107 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Daniel Galan30c79.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Jan Choinski76c77.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6331656.3%178 W · 138 L+19.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Daniel Galan41c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jan Choinski38c72.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.713,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Daniel Galan51c71.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3649749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Jan Choinski70c67.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6543067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Jan Choinski48c60.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.432,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jan Choinski38c57.6$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.912,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Jan Choinski72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5633655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Daniel Galan57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Daniel Galan58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Daniel Galan25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.558438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Daniel Galan61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Jan Choinski27c46.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0192138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Galan36c45.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.493,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f1…29b9backed Jan Choinski71c45.2$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Jan Choinski68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1223754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Jan Choinski31c43.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3417554.9%96 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Daniel Galan57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…dd64backed Daniel Galan24c43.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.524257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Daniel Galan45c39.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810955%60 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Daniel Galan32c39.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7480341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Jan Choinski79c36.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7591755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Daniel Galan63c31.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.631,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7044…5104backed Daniel Galan32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+103.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Jan Choinski56c29.89$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.156660.6%40 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed Daniel Galan53c28.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154744.7%21 W · 26 L-9.3wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-32.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Jan Choinski71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Jan Choinski74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0341768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7d…69a5backed Jan Choinski75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6721555.8%120 W · 95 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Daniel Galan77c25.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9923073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Jan Choinski42c25.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.547,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Daniel Galan49c24.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Daniel Galan58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9237158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Jan Choinski76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.888273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Jan Choinski71c14.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2810144.6%45 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.