Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germany
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5313ba1b367e5651794db36b60260904e4d857ab0c4f468cd4ada6951971c932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Germanyof Finland, Germany
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce2b…f765backed Finland | 17c | 13,280$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Finland | 16c | 12,295$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.99 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Finland | 14c | 8,413$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…7337backed Finland | 16c | 5,900$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Finland | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Finland | 21c | 2,299$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.49 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Finland | 6c | 1,534$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Finland | 13c | 1,275$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.06 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Germany | 79c | 1,263$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Finland | 15c | 1,250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Germany | 78c | 1,094$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Finland | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Finland | 7c | 900.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…169dbacked Germany | 73c | 724.02$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Finland | 7c | 680.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Finland | 17c | 674.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Finland | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Finland | 16c | 600$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Finland | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Finland | 17c | 599.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…c6f9backed Finland | 16c | 576.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed Finland | 12c | 490.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Finland | 17c | 335.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42c…aaddbacked Finland | 30c | 334.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Finland | 10c | 308.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Finland | 11c | 299.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Finland | 17c | 297.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Finland | 7c | 280$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Finland | 19c | 263.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Finland | 15c | 259$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Finland | 9c | 210.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Finland | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Finland | 19c | 198.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…1c6dbacked Finland | 10c | 185.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Finland | 15c | 174.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…0c13backed Finland | 17c | 174.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…6e79backed Finland | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…2fecbacked Finland | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Germany | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…9016backed Finland | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Finland | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Finland | 14c | 99.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Finland | 17c | 95.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Finland | 21c | 94.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Finland | 13c | 81.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…e661backed Finland | 18c | 73.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Finland | 22c | 67.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Finland | 16c | 65.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.