Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: France vs Slovenia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96240a764af4e99caf4473f78eb140d9104931ff9f9c008b81fdc7ee1c1dc622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Slovenia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked France | 76c | 13,430$10,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Slovenia | 25c | 5,737$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Slovenia | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Slovenia | 21c | 1,492$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed France | 69c | 1,055$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Slovenia | 27c | 900$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Slovenia | 14c | 898.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Slovenia | 46c | 517.17$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked France | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Slovenia | 26c | 392.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Slovenia | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 22cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…cc9abacked Slovenia | 13c | 349.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked France | 50c | 346$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Slovenia | 28c | 332$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4e…62d5backed Slovenia | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed France | 56c | 218.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Slovenia | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed France | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Slovenia | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked France | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Slovenia | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed France | 79c | 28.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.