Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cb6ec6fd1fbb507a6e2c8796e7726fe2d7cf40ce53c961a193b8cec0e916d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alafia Ayeniof Mert Naci Turker, Alafia Ayeni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mert Naci Turker | 41c | 2,962$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.55 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alafia Ayeni | 77c | 2,605$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 51c | 2,005$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mert Naci Turker | 2c | 1,970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mert Naci Turker | 52c | 1,419$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.6 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Alafia Ayeni | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Mert Naci Turker | 23c | 947.07$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Mert Naci Turker | 47c | 820.83$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.79 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Mert Naci Turker | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alafia Ayeni | 53c | 620.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mert Naci Turker | 48c | 535.02$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mert Naci Turker | 58c | 496.65$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.55 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Mert Naci Turker | 28c | 470.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Mert Naci Turker | 23c | 430.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 49c | 429.21$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mert Naci Turker | 23c | 351.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Alafia Ayeni | 67c | 327.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8e…eaa2backed Mert Naci Turker | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 64c | 281$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alafia Ayeni | 63c | 280.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mert Naci Turker | 24c | 261.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Mert Naci Turker | 40c | 261$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 36c | 247.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mert Naci Turker | 24c | 230.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Alafia Ayeni | 47c | 228.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mert Naci Turker | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Mert Naci Turker | 51c | 177$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Mert Naci Turker | 44c | 166.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Mert Naci Turker | 50c | 164.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Mert Naci Turker | 25c | 153.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Mert Naci Turker | 47c | 131.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Mert Naci Turker | 46c | 127.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mert Naci Turker | 50c | 120.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Mert Naci Turker | 50c | 120.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…46d3backed Alafia Ayeni | 56c | 106.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alafia Ayeni | 50c | 104.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Mert Naci Turker | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Mert Naci Turker | 23c | 84.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Alafia Ayeni | 43c | 81.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Mert Naci Turker | 18c | 74.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alafia Ayeni | 76c | 74.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Mert Naci Turker | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Mert Naci Turker | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Mert Naci Turker | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 64c | 62.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alafia Ayeni | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…18a8backed Mert Naci Turker | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Mert Naci Turker | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mert Naci Turker | 24c | 57.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alafia Ayeni | 47c | 55.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mert Naci Turker | 48c | 55.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Mert Naci Turker | 25c | 52.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Mert Naci Turker | 67c | 52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Mert Naci Turker | 27c | 42.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Mert Naci Turker | 26c | 42.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alafia Ayeni | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…e724backed Alafia Ayeni | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b03ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 47c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Alafia Ayeni | 54c | 33.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Alafia Ayeni | 61c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 476 | 49.6%236 W · 240 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Mert Naci Turker | 38c | 31.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Alafia Ayeni | 41c | 31.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mert Naci Turker | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Alafia Ayeni | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mert Naci Turker | 34c | 29.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mert Naci Turker | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Mert Naci Turker | 55c | 25.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Alafia Ayeni | 77c | 24.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Alafia Ayeni | 51c | 21.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 73c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Alafia Ayeni | 65c | 17.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Alafia Ayeni | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…687ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Alafia Ayeni | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bb…b0f7backed Alafia Ayeni | 76c | 13.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.