NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2892ddda9b74699fb1bcf0bb5a5f80d0f2494efd85b6cfb34f4e867a5b57cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 51c | 42,975$22,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,886.36 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Grizzlies | 40c | 23,531$9,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,511.36 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 19,903$9,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,752.47 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Celtics | 50c | 15,530$7,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.1 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Grizzlies | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Celtics | 59c | 13,924$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,708.97 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Grizzlies | 1c | 13,296$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 12,337$6,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,146.97 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2a42backed Celtics | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grizzlies | 0c | 8,032$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 59c | 7,186$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,961.55 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 0c | 6,886$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 45c | 6,489$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.53 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,348$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 6c | 4,907$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,627$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Celtics | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,331$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.06 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 50c | 3,083$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.87 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Celtics | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Grizzlies | 42c | 2,699$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Celtics | 58c | 2,414$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Grizzlies | 42c | 2,414$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 2,395$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.78 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 47c | 1,789$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.41 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,641$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.87 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 1,309$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,096$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,010$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Celtics | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Celtics | 51c | 900$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Celtics | 59c | 851.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 839.24$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Celtics | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Grizzlies | 21c | 600$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 590.34$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.76 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Celtics | 79c | 579.95$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Grizzlies | 53c | 570.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Grizzlies | 7c | 540$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +210.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 19c | 531.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…e6e6backed Grizzlies | 21c | 509.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Celtics | 56c | 502.25$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Celtics | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Celtics | 77c | 496.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…4720backed Celtics | 56c | 404.82$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 375$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Celtics | 56c | 355.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…a42bbacked Grizzlies | 5c | 347.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Grizzlies | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…51f1backed Celtics | 57c | 285.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Celtics | 58c | 285$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 280.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Grizzlies | 47c | 257.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Grizzlies | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Grizzlies | 41c | 233.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Celtics | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Celtics | 57c | 220.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Celtics | 56c | 209.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Celtics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Grizzlies | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Grizzlies | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Celtics | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 58c | 170.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 31c | 167.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…2954backed Celtics | 58c | 160.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…4a0cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…d001backed Celtics | 56c | 149.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…8668backed Grizzlies | 52c | 148.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…768dbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…ffafbacked Celtics | 49c | 140.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Grizzlies | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…cae5backed Celtics | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…f6adbacked Celtics | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Grizzlies | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Grizzlies | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c2…6eb3backed Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 112.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 109.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…5f10backed Celtics | 49c | 109.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Grizzlies | 46c | 106.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…7a9abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 105.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…b906backed Celtics | 75c | 102.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Grizzlies | 43c | 100.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Grizzlies | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed Celtics | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…c12bbacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…e2acbacked Celtics | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.