Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfce35d27ec2424617bb491db0fc27a2edf92bd5e7039fa47532e4a9267279136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed No | 47c | 198,724$93,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,400.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 53c | 184,437$97,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,685.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 53c | 8,277$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.66 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 49c | 7,042$3,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460.64 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 46c | 6,109$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.21 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 41c | 3,710$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.61 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 79c | 3,500$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.51 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 30c | 3,429$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.44 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 47c | 3,300$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.25 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 59c | 2,967$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 59c | 2,035$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,864$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.91 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.65 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 54c | 1,566$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.68 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,396$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 54c | 1,301$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.11 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 73c | 1,285$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.91 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Yes | 55c | 538.18$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Yes | 57c | 474.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 9c | 467.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 46c | 459$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 40c | 414.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 42c | 399.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 45c | 352$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 289.87$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Yes | 53c | 282.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 49c | 268$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 64c | 263.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 53c | 210$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 61c | 179.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed Yes | 56c | 178.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 47c | 177.33$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 53c | 144$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 53c | 141.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 64c | 137.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 66c | 134.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 29c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 54c | 104.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 55c | 94.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 92.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Yes | 77c | 85.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 61c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Yes | 60c | 51.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 56c | 44.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ca…7330backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 57c | 29.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…effdbacked Yes | 79c | 29.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad81…1637backed Yes | 53c | 24.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…7767backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will KuPS vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will KuPS win on 2025-08-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.