TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed No13c6,528$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.663764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No43c5,775$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.2610040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes57c5,100$2,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.164641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No39c1,815$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.215341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No45c1,719$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.013351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No42c1,572$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+194.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes57c1,563$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.465133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes56c1,485$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.6224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No39c1,280$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.27342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes61c1,120$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.1217852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7321037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No40c1,027$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.782250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed No44c1,001$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.232227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes58c772.26$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.352254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No23c636.94$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.321,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes54c582.22$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.221650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes63c459.43$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes60c459$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e6…c8e7backed Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No40c423.46$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.916950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes58c391.67$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6722054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked No25c389.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.61233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No3c383.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16339.7%25 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No5c332$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7213232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No25c314.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.194339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e6…0615backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes59c249.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.499332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes57c240.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3214332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes56c190$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.69857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.686053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes57c185$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a64…cd34backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675839.7%23 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6719645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes62c161.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.74425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No39c148.24$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.943225%8 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes58c146$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Yes62c142.85$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked No43c137.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed No18c131$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.344151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f90…e43dbacked Yes60c117.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3602…b407backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…c622backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…e7d0backed Yes66c85.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15e…be45backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes61c81.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.831450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+105%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb29f…1ab6backed Yes59c75.35$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.07333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a36…ea6fbacked Yes60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.814947%70 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes59c63.88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1924047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8e…cfdabacked Yes66c60.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76e…3d4cbacked Yes55c54.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66a…229fbacked No41c54.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3963…6241backed Yes62c54.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No40c54.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5110337.9%39 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes62c53.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.232365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7310050%50 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2829134.4%100 W · 191 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes59c51.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028840.3%116 W · 172 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203650%18 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed No39c49.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d09…3f93backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43f…a86fbacked No39c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes74c46$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.112343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd31f…094cbacked No49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5238…8f69backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3112938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes60c36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa590…663ebacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3301…a3ecbacked No41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92be…d717backed No43c27.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Yes59c25.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…401fbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a12…d83bbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef00…15d8backed Yes61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…6748backed Yes62c22.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdda1…6561backed Yes61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2c…e16fbacked Yes56c20.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d8…655abacked Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-59.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146c…811ebacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes57c19.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5911635.3%41 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.