TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes31c40,950$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5002334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c25,764$7,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,712.042,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No70c25,000$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No70c19,661$13,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,893.758558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No69c10,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No73c7,875$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,123.8724657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No70c2,600$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.979952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7755955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes21c2,262$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.661457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes28c1,812$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.3216154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes2c1,777$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.195125.5%13 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No69c1,609$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.7944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c74…14f2backed Yes13c1,539$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No69c1,522$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.824261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No71c1,508$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7613754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c8…f6e0backed Yes30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…4ec7backed No72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes14c1,426$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes31c1,327$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.282540%10 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes30c1,179$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.731513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes20c1,077$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.121650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c954.84$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.551,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes32c920.97$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked No72c835.29$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes28c793.54$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…91dabacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5832…3dacbacked No72c763.89$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes15c758.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c8…5c6bbacked Yes34c735.71$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes39c615.75$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2391560%9 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c507$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0348144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes30c456.29$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No69c450$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.863171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No69c418.26$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1775…41a2backed Yes30c360.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No69c350$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes11c346$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No69c345.59$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.591450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7c…79a0backed Yes15c341.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes13c340$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes30c339$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No71c335$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No72c308.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3312565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes30c302.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No70c278$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.417651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No70c250$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.074060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adf…b6b1backed No69c239.58$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.271361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No69c233.87$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.354052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed No72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes29c199.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No79c190.91$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.091154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes30c186.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed No72c173.61$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No70c167.41$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes28c153.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…b59bbacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes30c101$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf69…aa05backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes31c65.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.346553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47f…40d6backed Yes29c65.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…9803backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18f5…75cdbacked Yes18c62.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d41…708cbacked No71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+109.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes34c55.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195334%18 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.328458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5750…bb8dbacked Yes30c47.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes28c42.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No74c35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2410163.4%64 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.