Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fdf5ac47599fbb54794cfa1c86af7607bdd7f725e7c7bd0ea95e493972c0be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 33c | 38,764$12,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,636.46 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 9,963$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.35 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 9,053$6,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.26 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 68c | 8,558$5,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.68 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 32c | 7,090$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.01 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 66c | 7,019$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.21 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.23 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 69c | 3,906$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1,085.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 32c | 3,900$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 64c | 2,228$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.43 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 68c | 2,009$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 68c | 1,711$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 1,635$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.88 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 19c | 1,633$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 1,567$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.11 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 32c | 1,562$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 1,105$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes | 52c | 957.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked No | 69c | 874.88$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Yes | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 67c | 550$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 57c | 531.86$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 528$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 512.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.3 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 67c | 429.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 20c | 420$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 68c | 350$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 13c | 322$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 67c | 300$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 32c | 237.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 6c | 191$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 72c | 190.91$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 32c | 178.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 67c | 170.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…eab2backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 141.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 60c | 91.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 64c | 79.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…b59bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bd…a93dbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…75cdbacked Yes | 30c | 33.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…8a2abacked No | 69c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?this page
- Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?Yes won
- Will Torino win on 2025-09-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.