TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,143 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No63c40,000$25,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,199.9910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2635…5408backed Yes37c32,466$12,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,453.452429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…310fbacked Yes40c6,900$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c6,601$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,148.112,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…5219backed No59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes38c5,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,08011832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No62c3,881$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No54c3,679$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.3224657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Yes63c3,377$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No38c3,036$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.122445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No62c2,626$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3a0…e864backed Yes40c2,299$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…70edbacked Yes41c2,165$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34c2…07babacked No60c2,164$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f2…f133backed Yes41c2,114$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a18…9d39backed No61c2,114$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a3…23d3backed No61c2,069$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…f1e8backed Yes41c2,069$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a4…2da1backed Yes40c2,045$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d99…91afbacked No62c2,045$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…dd5bbacked No62c2,034$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked No36c1,991$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.961513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c1,970$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67cb…82ecbacked No60c1,941$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes26c1,938$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.35540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick17cpaid+92.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e84…2b5dbacked Yes41c1,925$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…2523backed No60c1,924$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes56c1,878$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.834052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No56c1,849$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.1513754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09f6…fd5abacked Yes41c1,687$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x887a…c417backed No60c1,670$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7f…105bbacked Yes40c1,670$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…13d3backed No60c1,666$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes50c1,442$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.11457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61d5…e6d2backed Yes41c1,418$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7be…3428backed No61c1,327$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b1…4c3bbacked Yes41c1,327$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Yes62c1,306$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No37c1,291$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe25…ce67backed Yes62c1,081$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes67c970.15$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1543058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2415…7a5fbacked No60c900$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No32c891.94$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.661,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c879$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.5448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked No75c840$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c676.67$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes40c650$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39011772.6%85 W · 32 L+28.2wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+67.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No18c610$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed No62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3723650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes38c590$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.6741943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes76c535.22$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.4524238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62b…86d0backed Yes41c493.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.21275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yes63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes39c461.82$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed No38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Yes53c327.46$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.63683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…c7c0backed Yes37c311.32$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes61c311.32$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.41475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+253%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes37c309.38$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes37c300.48$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.481560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No60c292.25$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.358558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa637…bacfbacked Yes79c266.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98d…fe62backed No61c265.57$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No78c257.08$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.965848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f44…1c79backed Yes41c254.59$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe3…5a21backed Yes40c247.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes38c222.11$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.614930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0d…59d0backed Yes31c209.68$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes58c208$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.228445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes37c199.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1264854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xc72b…3756backed No33c190.89$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed No67c129.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.09650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8874…0b31backed Yes62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes37c127.03$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.031435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes41c125.17$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…cd73backed Yes61c124.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No64c109.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f5…1688backed Yes37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234522.2%10 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6210339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x651e…17b6backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb8…59c9backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.