TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-08-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e94…6243backed No1c8,509$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.094337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes75c3,233$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.898345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No35c2,551$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.6427939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No47c1,767$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.415147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No42c1,705$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.7513327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2979…59e5backed Yes58c1,385$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No47c1,091$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.0712269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No43c1,030$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.09825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes53c986$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.424052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe17e…6f7abacked Yes77c620.9$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c560.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.382,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Yes58c395.91$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes58c359$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No43c349.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.495947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No43c329.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.97328.8%21 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked No44c299.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020655.3%114 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No15c222.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No28c188.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0320042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes56c179.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.225962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe505…fadbbacked No44c112.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes62c90.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1215376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43de…7e3bbacked Yes56c84.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes56c76.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1737926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…998ebacked Yes57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8e…cfdabacked Yes72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes58c67.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No44c47.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.744751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes57c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.928743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes59c42.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.058453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes53c36.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1715846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed No47c36.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Yes53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.459652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab0…d97dbacked No44c26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa7…1b63backed Yes56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.