TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaab0…d97d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.68
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.68
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.37
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.65
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.26
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.52
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.75
Padres vs. Marlinsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$20.9
Padres vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$17.85
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.68
Mariners vs. Cubsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$20.52
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$5.27
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15.96
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+134.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$30.25
Will Iceland win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$46.32
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$13.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$57.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mumbai Indians vs. Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.