MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46e23b69df100c7c3bcc2a010d156dc57334f9bc0f48f3acecaf8ba7d3860d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rays | 49c | 12,422$6,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.26 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Rays | 64c | 11,000$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…97abbacked Rays | 49c | 10,005$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,102.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…bef4backed Astros | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Astros | 34c | 9,047$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 57c | 8,272$4,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.88 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Astros | 49c | 7,997$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.5 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 31c | 6,969$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…b4bebacked Astros | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Rays | 59c | 4,853$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 49c | 4,704$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 51c | 4,529$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.05 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 51c | 3,036$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.18 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Astros | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Rays | 48c | 2,981$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 37c | 2,141$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 52c | 2,014$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.15 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 45c | 1,877$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 57c | 1,430$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.1 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Astros | 13c | 1,423$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Astros | 1c | 1,323$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.14 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rays | 51c | 1,041$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.53 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Astros | 39c | 1,029$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Astros | 52c | 1,025$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.7 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 51c | 1,011$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.69 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Rays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.36 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 51c | 999.94$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rays | 47c | 997.98$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.93 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 70c | 703.72$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 2c | 698.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Astros | 8c | 684$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Astros | 4c | 614.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Astros | 52c | 584.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 38c | 584.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Astros | 29c | 550$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rays | 48c | 521$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Rays | 65c | 483.91$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 49c | 457.52$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Astros | 53c | 404.81$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 43c | 376.09$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 65c | 356.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 52c | 323.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe13…7410backed Rays | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Rays | 72c | 297.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae1…d479backed Astros | 53c | 289.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Rays | 58c | 283.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Astros | 52c | 273.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…c29dbacked Astros | 21c | 251$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 52c | 228.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 52c | 191.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 44c | 184.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 35c | 175.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Astros | 47c | 171.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Astros | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 43c | 140.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Astros | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rays | 49c | 131$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x119e…e353backed Astros | 52c | 124.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…4f5abacked Astros | 41c | 115$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…faafbacked Rays | 50c | 113.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Astros | 52c | 111.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75d…6337backed Astros | 21c | 110.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…808bbacked Rays | 49c | 107.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…087abacked Astros | 52c | 105.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…7faebacked Rays | 49c | 104.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…e309backed Rays | 49c | 103.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…b770backed Astros | 53c | 103.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…f908backed Astros | 53c | 102.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf11…b073backed Astros | 53c | 101.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…6828backed Astros | 53c | 101.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rays | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32d…b3cbbacked Astros | 52c | 100.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44f…9756backed Rays | 50c | 100.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5c…ee94backed Rays | 49c | 100.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Astros | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…c1bfbacked Rays | 49c | 99.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…71bebacked Astros | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…9175backed Astros | 53c | 98.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…c249backed Rays | 49c | 97.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…5ba7backed Astros | 53c | 97.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.