MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ecfd7aba0efdcfa286b0ded0be96c454d6d342b63f77d9e1c530ed5d9e621c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Rays, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Rays | 49c | 71,691$35,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,028.69 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 51c | 47,533$24,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,291.31 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 27c | 18,629$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,569.63 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 43c | 16,192$6,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 52c | 12,600$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.01 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Rays | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 50c | 10,661$5,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.01 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 51c | 10,449$5,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Twins | 65c | 8,837$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.52 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 16c | 8,300$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.22 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Rays | 48c | 7,971$3,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Rays | 47c | 6,353$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 52c | 6,079$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.91 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 48c | 5,966$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.85 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Rays | 48c | 5,204$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.96 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 30c | 4,955$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Rays | 66c | 3,920$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Rays | 45c | 3,763$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.53 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Twins | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Rays | 72c | 3,000$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 50c | 2,810$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 68c | 2,430$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.94 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 2c | 2,380$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Rays | 39c | 2,349$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.61 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 49c | 2,341$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 74c | 2,134$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.27 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 28c | 2,009$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.15 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 51c | 1,632$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.7 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Twins | 43c | 1,551$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.21 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Rays | 34c | 1,473$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Rays | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins | 52c | 1,359$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rays | 38c | 1,321$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…c5e2backed Twins | 50c | 1,286$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Rays | 50c | 1,286$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 48c | 1,246$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Rays | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Rays | 49c | 1,198$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 36c | 1,097$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Twins | 54c | 1,000$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.9 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Twins | 41c | 921.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Rays | 47c | 875.9$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.16 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Twins | 30c | 872.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 25c | 849.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.62 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Twins | 65c | 837.82$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Twins | 28c | 835$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Rays | 48c | 710.42$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Rays | 71c | 705.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Rays | 49c | 683.33$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.83 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Twins | 54c | 650.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Rays | 46c | 650.15$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rays | 48c | 616.63$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Rays | 49c | 613.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Rays | 46c | 541.24$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rays | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 40c | 500.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 49c | 500$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 46c | 499.98$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Rays | 80c | 495.28$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Rays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Rays | 46c | 486.64$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 48c | 460.42$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rays | 55c | 458.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Twins | 42c | 450.48$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rays | 4c | 443$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Twins | 57c | 435.01$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 49c | 420$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 49c | 407.48$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.48 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Twins | 37c | 383$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rays | 53c | 376.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Twins | 52c | 373$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 71c | 353.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 51c | 343.68$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Rays | 50c | 336.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Rays | 63c | 333$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Twins | 56c | 321.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 48c | 300.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Twins | 35c | 291.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Rays | 74c | 290.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 44c | 286.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Rays | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rays | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rays | 68c | 234.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 30c | 218.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rays | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef96backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rays | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Rays | 48c | 195.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Rays | 51c | 194.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rays | 73c | 191.04$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.