MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41ab62807ccd2361eee8c473dee04a099a484fdb69b8ebd58966f4693a7a05f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Pirates, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pirates | 33c | 79,684$26,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,280.29 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Cubs | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 67c | 20,792$13,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.21 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…8e0abacked Pirates | 34c | 9,995$3,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 65c | 9,657$6,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…e5d1backed Cubs | 66c | 9,117$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Pirates | 31c | 4,466$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.32 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 68c | 3,953$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.85 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 28c | 3,578$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 25c | 3,513$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 40c | 2,265$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.88 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cubs | 67c | 2,020$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 66c | 1,998$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.71 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Cubs | 68c | 1,799$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 17c | 1,756$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 67c | 1,555$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.26 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Cubs | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.54 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs | 60c | 1,448$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.52 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 69c | 1,430$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 67c | 1,402$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.01 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cubs | 67c | 1,177$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.41 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Cubs | 68c | 1,171$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.6 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 64c | 1,127$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 20c | 1,105$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 33c | 1,020$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…9b35backed Pirates | 25c | 1,005$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pirates | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cubs | 67c | 988.98$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cubs | 66c | 983.46$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.46 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Pirates | 34c | 852.92$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 32c | 822.64$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.08 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Pirates | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cubs | 65c | 770.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 33c | 691.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Pirates | 33c | 687.98$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 31c | 634.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 13c | 556.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Pirates | 37c | 523.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.65 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 33c | 499.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 31c | 490.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 59c | 477.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.26 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Cubs | 67c | 430.2$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 5c | 427.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Pirates | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cubs | 68c | 369.34$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cubs | 66c | 347.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 30c | 305$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Cubs | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Pirates | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Pirates | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Pirates | 33c | 299.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Cubs | 67c | 298.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 69c | 291.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Cubs | 68c | 291.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cubs | 67c | 289.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cubs | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 56c | 225.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Pirates | 21c | 198.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Pirates | 10c | 150.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Cubs | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Cubs | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Cubs | 68c | 132.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Pirates | 29c | 120.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 68c | 112.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Pirates | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 36c | 111$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Pirates | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cubs | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Pirates | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Cubs | 56c | 90.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cubs | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates | 32c | 81.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Cubs | 64c | 80.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Pirates | 33c | 63.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.