MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212fecbad88415dc7a4ab69a580bbfd60e4aad69d408bcbb5120376420395db6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 43c | 29,249$12,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,671.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 54c | 13,183$7,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,101.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 31c | 13,146$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,051.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 71c | 11,327$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.45 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 71c | 9,657$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Mariners | 75c | 9,123$6,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 31c | 7,732$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.02 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Cubs | 60c | 6,987$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 34c | 6,108$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.28 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 43c | 6,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 43c | 5,521$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.57 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cubs | 58c | 5,393$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.45 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Cubs | 80c | 5,246$4,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,196.77 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 36c | 4,911$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.54 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 71c | 4,699$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs | 49c | 4,671$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.69 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 1c | 4,205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 56c | 4,131$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Cubs | 63c | 3,344$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners | 45c | 3,212$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.7 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…c4dabacked Mariners | 47c | 3,049$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 76c | 2,818$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…8c09backed Mariners | 45c | 2,732$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d67…efffbacked Cubs | 55c | 2,732$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 57c | 2,723$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.11 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 32c | 2,674$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 13c | 2,157$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mariners | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Mariners | 33c | 1,692$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cubs | 2c | 1,685$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Cubs | 58c | 1,680$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.23 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 57c | 1,666$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.62 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mariners | 43c | 1,656$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.76 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Cubs | 58c | 1,548$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.67 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,510$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.61 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 2c | 1,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cubs | 4c | 1,434$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cubs | 29c | 1,241$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.95 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Mariners | 67c | 1,222$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.06 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Cubs | 1c | 1,177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Mariners | 22c | 1,161$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.42 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Cubs | 55c | 1,086$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Mariners | 78c | 1,073$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Cubs | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 43c | 978.43$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 57c | 924.6$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.61 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Cubs | 57c | 878$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cubs | 58c | 864.01$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mariners | 44c | 861.02$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.17 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cubs | 78c | 843.56$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.98 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Cubs | 31c | 834.39$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Cubs | 8c | 799.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 26c | 658.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.14 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cubs | 56c | 646.43$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 32c | 604.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.61 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 43c | 556.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Mariners | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 45c | 499.96$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Cubs | 40c | 491.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Cubs | 21c | 477.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a3…7838backed Cubs | 55c | 451.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96f…cfc4backed Cubs | 56c | 410.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 57c | 396.84$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 44c | 385.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Mariners | 48c | 368.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 56c | 352.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Cubs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Mariners | 25c | 346.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Mariners | 44c | 322.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cubs | 23c | 317.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Mariners | 71c | 312$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Mariners | 46c | 311.69$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.09 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 16c | 310.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Cubs | 58c | 302.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.33 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cubs | 67c | 298.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 31c | 294.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mariners | 43c | 281.93$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 56c | 280.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cubs | 55c | 278.06$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Cubs | 57c | 275.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 43c | 268.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cubs | 77c | 261.63$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Cubs | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Cubs | 7c | 240$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 50c | 235.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 43c | 232.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Mariners | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 54c | 216.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 49c | 192.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cubs | 56c | 191.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ce…4f07backed Cubs | 34c | 186.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Cubs | 57c | 186$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.