MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671675301367019853ee970e009809609d4e06cd3f5e2b0fa768d432db52dd83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 42c | 77,351$32,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,589.24 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Padres | 58c | 75,000$43,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 42c | 29,111$12,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 49c | 9,380$4,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,584.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 58c | 6,930$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 48c | 4,793$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 57c | 4,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 57c | 4,558$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Padres | 58c | 4,327$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.44 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Padres | 46c | 4,178$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.03 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 15c | 4,002$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…dfe2backed Nationals | 60c | 3,324$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 16c | 2,966$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 55c | 2,744$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.93 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nationals | 43c | 2,640$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.38 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 60c | 2,411$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.4 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 19c | 2,399$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.87 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 9c | 2,383$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,305$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.15 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 57c | 2,226$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.03 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 55c | 2,205$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.68 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 18c | 2,178$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.52 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nationals | 40c | 2,162$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.72 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Padres | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 68c | 1,853$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Padres | 58c | 1,530$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,344$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 70c | 1,250$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.6 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Padres | 72c | 989.47$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nationals | 29c | 973.51$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Padres | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Nationals | 60c | 851.67$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nationals | 42c | 800.36$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.15 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 43c | 677$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 45c | 529.7$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.34 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Padres | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Padres | 70c | 472.1$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Padres | 58c | 457.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 44c | 455.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.79 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nationals | 55c | 444.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Padres | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Padres | 57c | 436.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Nationals | 21c | 416.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Padres | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 7c | 300.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 39c | 291.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.53 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…a22abacked Padres | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…5caebacked Nationals | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Padres | 59c | 252.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6d…9ec9backed Padres | 58c | 226$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…15edbacked Nationals | 43c | 219$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…926dbacked Nationals | 43c | 218$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 61c | 217.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…3dc5backed Padres | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…0bccbacked Nationals | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Nationals | 47c | 201.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 42c | 200.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Padres | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…d0ecbacked Padres | 58c | 188$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…e3dcbacked Nationals | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Padres | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…a388backed Padres | 58c | 159$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…57ebbacked Nationals | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…8549backed Padres | 58c | 149$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Nationals | 53c | 147$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Nationals | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Nationals | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…3047backed Padres | 58c | 123$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Padres | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Padres | 56c | 107.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Padres | 58c | 103.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Padres | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…88febacked Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Padres | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c28dbacked Padres | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 76c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Nationals | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Padres | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nationals | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 57c | 65.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Nationals | 47c | 55.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.