MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c07cb9e150a81ba72414c5d5e04470659d778eb77fdc438475e801f21e36654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 15c | 15,716$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.87 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pirates | 25c | 4,077$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 63c | 3,632$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 44c | 3,629$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.66 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 42c | 3,458$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.42 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Pirates | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Marlins | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…1356backed Marlins | 43c | 2,484$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…a750backed Marlins | 43c | 2,460$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 25c | 2,349$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 57c | 2,153$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.22 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,990$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…9dd0backed Pirates | 57c | 1,836$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f28…92fabacked Pirates | 57c | 1,825$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Pirates | 26c | 1,762$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 57c | 1,718$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Pirates | 58c | 1,419$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.95 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…4102backed Pirates | 57c | 1,282$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 58c | 1,244$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Marlins | 46c | 1,114$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.81 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Pirates | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pirates | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 42c | 999.89$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 42c | 949.94$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…4b92backed Pirates | 54c | 925$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 57c | 858.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 70c | 809.78$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Pirates | 63c | 799.46$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 45c | 702.49$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 62c | 669$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 69c | 587.75$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Marlins | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…1a6ebacked Marlins | 43c | 461.12$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…ac6dbacked Marlins | 43c | 452.21$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Marlins | 43c | 438.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…bcb4backed Marlins | 43c | 426.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 43c | 419.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.59 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Pirates | 25c | 416.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…82d1backed Marlins | 43c | 409.26$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Pirates | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 72c | 383.67$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates | 11c | 371.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 58c | 360$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 57c | 352.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…3f06backed Pirates | 58c | 352.03$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c8…074cbacked Marlins | 43c | 349.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…d442backed Marlins | 43c | 345.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…eabcbacked Pirates | 58c | 345.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 41c | 338$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…7665backed Marlins | 44c | 335.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…084abacked Pirates | 58c | 331.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Pirates | 58c | 328.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…f9cdbacked Pirates | 58c | 317.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…3f47backed Pirates | 58c | 314.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Marlins | 42c | 300.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 41c | 286.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Pirates | 58c | 277.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3a…9b0ebacked Pirates | 58c | 267.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…933dbacked Pirates | 58c | 264.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 62c | 260.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Pirates | 56c | 257.28$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Pirates | 46c | 251.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Pirates | 57c | 236.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Pirates | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Pirates | 22c | 189.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…1914backed Pirates | 58c | 184.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 55c | 181.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Pirates | 39c | 168.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Pirates | 18c | 166.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 23c | 158$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5126…cf14backed Pirates | 58c | 156.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Pirates | 25c | 153.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 56c | 153.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Marlins | 73c | 150.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 55c | 130.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Marlins | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 19c | 126.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…2463backed Marlins | 47c | 117.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Marlins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Marlins | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Marlins | 79c | 114.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 58c | 111.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marlins | 43c | 111.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Pirates | 63c | 110.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 69c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pirates | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Pirates | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pirates | 57c | 99.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 20c | 98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Marlins | 36c | 97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Pirates | 38c | 95.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.