MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84d5349cf9957553aebdfac2a9b705896182c9f10c463ea1274bcafedf11fa41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Guardians, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59c…7794backed Yankees | 64c | 9,995$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…c7c0backed Guardians | 36c | 9,995$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 34c | 7,505$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 26c | 6,807$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Yankees | 66c | 6,364$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 66c | 6,212$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.12 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 34c | 5,701$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.25 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 66c | 5,179$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.06 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 22c | 4,870$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 1c | 4,259$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 35c | 3,500$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.92 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 34c | 3,231$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked Guardians | 35c | 3,100$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.08 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Yankees | 65c | 2,342$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.83 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 1c | 2,121$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…f599backed Guardians | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yankees | 63c | 1,654$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked Guardians | 37c | 1,652$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 17c | 1,595$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Yankees | 65c | 1,512$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Guardians | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 64c | 1,421$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.79 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Guardians | 2c | 1,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Guardians | 16c | 1,121$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…5f79backed Yankees | 65c | 1,062$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Yankees | 65c | 1,038$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Yankees | 65c | 1,025$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.27 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Guardians | 9c | 939.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Guardians | 35c | 899.94$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 35c | 802.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Yankees | 64c | 772.68$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.95 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 34c | 770.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.11 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Yankees | 66c | 648.52$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.52 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees | 64c | 631.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 35c | 629.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Yankees | 63c | 627.2$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yankees | 74c | 615$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Guardians | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Yankees | 64c | 529$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.44 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Guardians | 38c | 528.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yankees | 65c | 459.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Yankees | 66c | 458.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Yankees | 68c | 455.12$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yankees | 75c | 444.21$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 8c | 431.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 65c | 331$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 4c | 311.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Guardians | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Guardians | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yankees | 66c | 294$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Yankees | 66c | 287.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 7c | 266.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 35c | 250.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yankees | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Yankees | 65c | 226.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Guardians | 36c | 215$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 6c | 203.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed Yankees | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Guardians | 35c | 199.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yankees | 65c | 184$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…2ee0backed Yankees | 66c | 170.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…2461backed Guardians | 36c | 160.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yankees | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yankees | 65c | 151.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Guardians | 35c | 143.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Yankees | 65c | 143$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b41…88cabacked Guardians | 36c | 134.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05a…398bbacked Yankees | 65c | 125.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…68e8backed Yankees | 65c | 118$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f8…39e6backed Guardians | 35c | 118$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 33c | 112.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 65c | 111.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 16c | 104.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…ebcebacked Guardians | 36c | 101.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…0c31backed Guardians | 36c | 100.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 36c | 100.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Yankees | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…8339backed Guardians | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yankees | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 38c | 97.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 36c | 94.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 65c | 93.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…80a4backed Guardians | 36c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yankees | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…13a7backed Guardians | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0476…df15backed Yankees | 65c | 85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…50d6backed Guardians | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…64aabacked Yankees | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.