Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4537098fac6e63ca93b738f3b8af3f0e7f593286b3b4feebdfa59fb831634a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 37c | 607,998$227,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227,492.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 63c | 222,589$140,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,405.19 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 63c | 140,000$88,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,800 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 62c | 120,000$74,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,600 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 63c | 40,058$25,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,922.62 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 63c | 30,079$18,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,155.51 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Yes | 63c | 30,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 62c | 17,500$10,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,978$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.27 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 64c | 2,215$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,574$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.13 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 64c | 1,356$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.25 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.67 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 63c | 893.65$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 37cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 863.56$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 36c | 761.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…d553backed Yes | 62c | 586.84$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 332$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 37c | 267.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 16c | 221$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 64c | 193.75$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 64c | 165.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 36c | 155.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 52c | 153.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 48c | 153.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 152.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 73c | 118.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 63c | 97.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 36c | 79.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 79.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…a7f0backed Yes | 64c | 47.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…a86fbacked No | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 64c | 39.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 64c | 31.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…acdcbacked Yes | 64c | 28.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…974abacked Yes | 64c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…811ebacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…05c9backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…5eddbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…39e5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…f1b8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will Club Brugge vs. Glasgow Rangers end in a draw?No won
- Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.