Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5be9d3eeca9e147e885c627bd779fda6122fe4402f1edb50c9343ca8a6a1d3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 58c | 4,963$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 37c | 4,535$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.85 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 3,640$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.02 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 35c | 2,950$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.53 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 40c | 2,417$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.42 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 47c | 2,400$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.38 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 1,823$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,555$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 52c | 872.75$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.87 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 42c | 784.66$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 72c | 775.02$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed No | 68c | 732.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes | 33c | 658.25$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 55c | 598.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 67c | 576$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 45c | 500$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 421.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.84 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb19…21e4backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 45c | 280.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 76c | 250.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 45c | 250.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 31c | 208.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 66c | 159.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 32c | 157.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 148$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 45c | 134$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 66c | 130.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Yes | 31c | 111.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…2a47backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…d3a9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…f388backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…4f0fbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…e6babacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…69b2backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…0b9dbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…16b9backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…c828backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d6…b015backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…25f2backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…d3afbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…ab9cbacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 28c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 33c | 87.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 36c | 81.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 80.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 59c | 67.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…8f66backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…81a5backed Yes | 33c | 56.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 52c | 53.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…f52bbacked Yes | 50c | 49.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Yes | 55c | 46.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 35c | 39.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…cd0abacked No | 68c | 35.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…6487backed Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 60c | 33.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…59bcbacked No | 67c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 56c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…93f4backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-19?Yes won
- Will Lecce vs. Cagliari end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.