Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38080270546c5896fed7b5ffb94828d449e2344b287f0de059bfaf333480b7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 50,000$17,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,209.53 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 36c | 31,111$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,911.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 28,287$18,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,104.09 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 66c | 19,900$13,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,134 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 64c | 16,102$10,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,305.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 34c | 9,500$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,270 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 12c | 6,550$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 36c | 4,591$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 64c | 2,904$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 2,782$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.45 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 2,420$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.81 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 59c | 2,360$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.13 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 68c | 1,943$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.41 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 32c | 1,889$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 67c | 1,764$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 1,458$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.15 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Yes | 35c | 1,417$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 16c | 1,169$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 32c | 1,032$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 64c | 984$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 66c | 948$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 80c | 940.66$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.71 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 938$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.41 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 934$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 838$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 68c | 752$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 65c | 565$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.25 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 73c | 556.56$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 53c | 547.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.53 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 65c | 527.53$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.66 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 65c | 510.07$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…b6b1backed No | 66c | 456$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 71c | 353.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.27 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 76c | 300$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 33c | 299.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.91 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 291.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 4c | 266.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 29c | 260.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.83 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 69c | 209.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.39 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 200$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 78c | 185.02$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 23c | 179.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 63c | 152.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…4446backed Yes | 37c | 152.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 36c | 147.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 34c | 146.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 68c | 119.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…2a47backed Yes | 33c | 106.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 73c | 93.63$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 65c | 91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 223 | 73.1%163 W · 60 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…06f9backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 71c | 52.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…5cdabacked Yes | 26c | 41.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…0f47backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…3f7ebacked Yes | 35c | 37.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41f…60b2backed Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…cecfbacked No | 66c | 37.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…8a7cbacked No | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 69c | 23.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will Lecce vs. Cagliari end in a draw?No won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-09-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.