Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK win on 2025-08-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x935ca12d2d081daf934e45de2ce60120de1ccb5846dc27f4c8da981dcae0c1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $993,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 34c | 401,892$137,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,791.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 229,597$152,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,719.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 65c | 131,361$85,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,976.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 64c | 100,000$64,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 64c | 44,500$28,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,875 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 67c | 10,819$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.48 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 67c | 10,061$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.13 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 67c | 4,424$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.84 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 67c | 3,161$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.51 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yes | 66c | 1,683$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 64c | 1,150$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.07 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 593$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 34c | 299.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 36c | 279.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed No | 36c | 179.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 66c | 172.86$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Yes | 67c | 157.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 66c | 143.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 21c | 103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 35c | 99.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 66c | 95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 47.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed No | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 66c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK win on 2025-08-28?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2025-08-28?No won
- Will PAOK vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.