Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df29117ae772ffb73c5947dab90f9ed3ffeea19af6e8a54695c200b3b165e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 46c | 57,295$26,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,955.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 30,513$16,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,460.7 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 8,877$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.45 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 62c | 3,582$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,086$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.89 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 19c | 1,972$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.18 | 117 | 72.6%85 W · 32 L | +28.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yes | 55c | 1,570$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 47c | 1,300$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.42 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 46c | 896.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 61c | 675.94$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.56 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Yes | 48c | 352.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 47c | 299.89$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 44c | 297.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Yes | 25c | 199.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 52c | 197.05$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 190.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 21c | 181.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yes | 56c | 171.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 56c | 171.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 46c | 139$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 125$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yes | 54c | 114.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 14c | 114.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 55c | 91.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 68.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…0120backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f9f5backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…9affbacked Yes | 51c | 28.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked No | 45c | 26.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Yes | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…6737backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Parma vs. Atalanta end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Parma win on 2025-08-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.