Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma win on 2025-08-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97699cc1dae8501d076792c5a6d7f8ee8fd58d6940797e55d3ccfede2fdfd606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 7c | 915.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 80c | 614.87$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 20c | 532.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 20c | 312.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 259.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 191.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 142.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 139$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 79c | 90.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 23c | 87.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…c57fbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 77c | 50.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma win on 2025-08-30?this page
- Will Atalanta win on 2025-08-30?No won
- Will Parma vs. Atalanta end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.