La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22e207f6758b7c2e08505a3776ae5a9d237211891667fd85763f139aace43755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed Yes | 0c | 38,345$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 9,754$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.8 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,183$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked No | 60c | 5,167$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 4,214$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.43 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 40c | 2,349$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.72 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 55c | 1,881$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.91 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 66c | 1,744$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.51 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 2c | 1,322$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.61 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +15.1wins | +0.30per pick | 14cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 1,273$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.94 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 55c | 1,110$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.06 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 70c | 791.82$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.34 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 57c | 702.9$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 701.42$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 77c | 649.87$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 16c | 639$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 30c | 509.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 372$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 71c | 330$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed No | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 204.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 143.93$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Yes | 12c | 142.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 142.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 74c | 138.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 56c | 113.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…be45backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 47c | 99.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…6133backed Yes | 38c | 49.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 47c | 45.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 60c | 38.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…3852backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f9…02e3backed No | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?this page
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.