La Liga · resolved market
Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136d43f4e6e4562bbdd90c1df04bb42c58eacccf6a16469c13ac51e9d145f872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 72c | 1,467$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.19 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 28c | 1,218$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.6 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 879$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.87 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 327.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 29c | 275.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 37c | 274.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 243.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 28c | 231$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 72c | 148.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 53c | 127.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 72c | 78.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 26c | 40.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 71c | 33.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 71c | 27.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…551dbacked Yes | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis end in a draw?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-27?No won
- Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.