NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71fe2106ce143f21b866901de1237d0c3481087424bbd2558afb25bde0440074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $419,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 415 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…3f94backed Grizzlies | 49c | 20,321$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs | 29c | 19,484$5,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,798.82 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Grizzlies | 69c | 18,898$13,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060.68 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 40c | 16,875$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.03 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 54c | 13,322$7,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,148.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 67c | 13,028$8,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.61 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Spurs | 48c | 10,971$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.55 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Spurs | 28c | 10,686$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.59 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Spurs | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs | 43c | 9,630$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.61 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…db9abacked Spurs | 76c | 8,038$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Spurs | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.94 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 39c | 7,300$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Spurs | 67c | 6,634$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.24 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Grizzlies | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 23c | 6,059$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,669.11 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 39c | 5,032$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.05 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 32c | 5,001$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.72 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 4,898$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.66 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 68c | 4,539$3,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.83 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Grizzlies | 79c | 3,364$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.29 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,284$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.36 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs | 22c | 2,922$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.94 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 2,850$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Grizzlies | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs | 19c | 2,641$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.33 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Spurs | 60c | 2,628$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.49 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 2,627$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.51 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe957…85c4backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,368$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 2,290$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.6 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Spurs | 69c | 2,160$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.68 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Spurs | 60c | 2,014$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.86 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 60c | 2,000$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Spurs | 77c | 1,936$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.03 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Grizzlies | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs | 27c | 1,788$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.67 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs | 21c | 1,782$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.77 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,748$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.96 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 69c | 1,666$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.71 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Spurs | 22c | 1,656$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.85 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,614$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.74 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 25c | 1,537$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.88 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,450$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.49 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,363$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Grizzlies | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2edf…8475backed Spurs | 29c | 1,300$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,225$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,225$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Spurs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs | 33c | 1,150$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.13 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 1,117$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.87 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs | 32c | 1,111$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 26c | 1,101$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.27 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…f627backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,092$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Spurs | 31c | 1,091$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.94 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Grizzlies | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Grizzlies | 45c | 1,038$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.29 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs | 31c | 1,026$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.94 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,022$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,014$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Grizzlies | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Grizzlies | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Spurs | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Spurs | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked Grizzlies | 78c | 980.41$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs | 40c | 949.47$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.37 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Spurs | 24c | 927.09$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.59 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Spurs | 33c | 909$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.03 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Grizzlies | 32c | 900$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 27c | 900$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 75c | 839.08$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.17 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 32c | 799.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.99 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs | 22c | 768$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 750$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Spurs | 45c | 653.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.55 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a7…554fbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed Grizzlies | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.8 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Grizzlies | 34c | 599.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…f9a6backed Grizzlies | 72c | 593.9$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…fa29backed Spurs | 23c | 586.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 14c | 550$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…2a30backed Spurs | 40c | 541.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Grizzlies | 74c | 538.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 68c | 513$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.34 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 72c | 502$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Grizzlies | 41c | 492.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 4c | 490$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 16c | 487.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…bfc7backed Grizzlies | 63c | 477.42$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…d576backed Grizzlies | 79c | 462.03$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.