TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bravesof Braves, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$989,853
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$990,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $989,853 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Braves37c858,635$316,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542,367.3212043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets62c215,106$133,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133,976.261,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets64c210,156$134,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,50022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets61c126,842$76,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,857.9538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Mets63c120,000$75,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,6006642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets63c40,655$25,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,806.3855053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mets62c26,315$16,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,315.5517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mets64c22,186$14,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,199.0423545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mets63c17,377$10,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,991.9923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mets63c16,545$10,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,366.9825453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Mets0c14,054$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0540629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Mets63c12,473$7,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,806.394443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4bd…bf7bbacked Mets79c10,052$7,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,941.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mets43c9,252$3,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.0854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets64c9,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7601,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets62c8,674$5,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,395.4956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets64c8,556$5,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,475.8435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Braves37c8,401$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,260.6633845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Braves35c7,578$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,896.473470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.7wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets64c6,924$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.092,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Mets64c5,800$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71216352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets66c5,195$3,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.759,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves18c4,606$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.4395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Mets63c4,500$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,831.511,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets65c3,823$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets62c3,388$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.5673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mets63c3,387$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.7538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Braves38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.1611051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Mets64c2,006$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Braves35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3219…4f05backed Braves36c1,733$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.093053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Braves36c1,400$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89616349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mets63c1,300$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81995950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets20c1,288$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mets63c1,271$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.581,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets17c1,160$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mets65c1,055$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mets64c1,016$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.241,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Mets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Mets65c943.08$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6132626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked Mets65c935.38$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mets4c904.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.881,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Braves35c899.98$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets52c886.99$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.094,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Braves35c819.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9924547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Braves15c801.26$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.379447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mets65c700$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4551,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Mets63c698.41$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets64c695$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Braves36c555$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.21,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Mets64c546.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Braves35c540.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Mets64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3205947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Mets65c477.16$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Braves34c438.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.265834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Braves34c433.29$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets64c420$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.81,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets65c401.54$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0912…9a36backed Mets65c384.62$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets48c349.01$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.772,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Mets43c315.39$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6921246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mets64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Mets65c309$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8592050%460 W · 460 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Mets65c308$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9411959.7%71 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mets65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36cc…e776backed Mets17c302.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507936.7%29 W · 50 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mets62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Braves36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19230850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Mets63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves36c299.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19283248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Braves36c279$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5640548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mets18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets64c268.75$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Braves36c244.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.641,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Braves37c234.04$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5646631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd76…6034backed Mets22c233.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.162536%9 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets36c210.78$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…2775backed Mets65c203.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.022673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Braves35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Braves5c200$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves36c199.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.993,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Braves67c197.47$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Mets65c193$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Mets64c193$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5224450%122 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mets80c178.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Mets46c166.87$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3724444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Mets65c155.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7631254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Braves36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9666751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Braves17c127.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5957545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets65c122.08$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.352,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c85…0884backed Mets69c122$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.181637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Braves37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1151245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.