NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Knicks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x912eb369fd6d3e601dcdd3f9da4d81e901ea2647e9b3c94406e8859a8da7a449

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Jazz, Knicks
Resolved: Jan 1, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $293,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $333,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,199 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz	3c	60,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Jazz	10c	22,120$2,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,144.06	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	12c	12,041$1,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.23	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz	11c	8,776$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.45	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Jazz	0c	5,996$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz	16c	4,375$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.11	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz	13c	4,055$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.57	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Jazz	10c	3,571$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.17	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Jazz	15c	2,738$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.77	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+9.6wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jazz	11c	2,500$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	75	36%27 W · 48 L	+6.4wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+40.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a4b…4a75backed Jazz	13c	2,385$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.99	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz	16c	2,042$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.93	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jazz	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz	11c	1,762$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.35	171	41.5%71 W · 100 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz	11c	1,551$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.25	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz	10c	1,468$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.14	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Jazz	13c	1,200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e7…51bbbacked Jazz	16c	1,133$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c44…5e3fbacked Jazz	16c	1,050$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jazz	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	256	51.6%132 W · 124 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz	14c	999.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	227	21.6%49 W · 178 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz	2c	944$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	550	2.5%14 W · 536 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz	16c	912.78$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.04	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7733…f052backed Jazz	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Jazz	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz	17c	650$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	303	31.4%95 W · 208 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz	8c	600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz	8c	554.1$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.83	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz	16c	546.2$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.77	709	51.3%364 W · 345 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63b…0db2backed Jazz	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz	12c	490$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.33	777	45%350 W · 427 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa6…d3eabacked Jazz	13c	486.54$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jazz	12c	444$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1035…cc97backed Jazz	12c	407.69$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz	16c	401.37$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.43	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz	11c	399.93$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.99	730	51.8%378 W · 352 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca21…7884backed Jazz	13c	346.15$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Jazz	15c	340$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Jazz	15c	324.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01f9…699dbacked Jazz	13c	263.23$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Jazz	12c	254.27$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7399…1e41backed Jazz	12c	249.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Jazz	20c	225$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	186	66.1%123 W · 63 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz	11c	216.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.56	853	47.9%409 W · 444 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Jazz	11c	212.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd970…3e65backed Jazz	14c	209.17$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.26	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-9.0wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	33-0.16 edge/pick
0xcc46…55a9backed Jazz	5c	205.09$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Knicks	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Knicks	78c	200$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	351	65.2%229 W · 122 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Knicks	80c	199.99$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	66cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz	10c	181.31$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	657	26%171 W · 486 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz	16c	168$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.48	259	57.5%149 W · 110 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfe…e942backed Jazz	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Jazz	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39b5…6f06backed Jazz	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Jazz	13c	150$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10bd…ce02backed Jazz	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x529d…47cfbacked Jazz	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz	8c	133.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb8…3667backed Jazz	14c	116.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+22%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6565…124dbacked Jazz	12c	114.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	46cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b60…dffabacked Jazz	12c	111.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Jazz	16c	109.44$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	264	39.4%104 W · 160 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Jazz	13c	107.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	110	19.1%21 W · 89 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz	14c	106.26$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	487	41.9%204 W · 283 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Knicks	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	280	58.2%163 W · 117 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Jazz	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	365	14.2%52 W · 313 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03b1…de8ebacked Jazz	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Jazz	15c	93.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	144	48.6%70 W · 74 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc9…19a1backed Jazz	12c	92.95$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Jazz	14c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	178	46.1%82 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Jazz	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	109	21.1%23 W · 86 L	-10.5wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb66…ec57backed Knicks	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	72cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Knicks	77c	23.6$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.36	404	48.3%195 W · 209 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Knicks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market