NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eedb4c7c8b8aa6075ddc03c6612f694428456089a7a8a926b13f0dbece64381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Senators, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa340…f6c0backed Red Wings | 49c | 10,035$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e12…b366backed Senators | 51c | 10,034$5,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,117.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Red Wings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 48c | 3,984$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.8 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Senators | 52c | 3,918$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.53 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa683…b03bbacked Senators | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 50c | 2,080$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.89 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…0f64backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,009$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Senators | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Senators | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…2ae1backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 51c | 999.98$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.41 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Red Wings | 48c | 999.91$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 48c | 999.86$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.93 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Senators | 53c | 959.88$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Senators | 53c | 757.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings | 47c | 737.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.12 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 54c | 717.48$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Senators | 57c | 692.68$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Senators | 51c | 633.79$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.23 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Senators | 49c | 578.02$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Red Wings | 49c | 533.7$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Senators | 50c | 514.56$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Red Wings | 49c | 458.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 441.12$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.89 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Senators | 63c | 435.37$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Senators | 57c | 426.91$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Red Wings | 52c | 423.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Red Wings | 47c | 419.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 382.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.04 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings | 47c | 382.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Senators | 53c | 317.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee42…f5c6backed Red Wings | 47c | 311.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Red Wings | 48c | 308.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…aa8abacked Red Wings | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 41c | 299.64$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efe…019ebacked Senators | 53c | 284.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 49c | 249.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…bf0bbacked Red Wings | 47c | 242.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…c58ebacked Senators | 54c | 237.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Red Wings | 47c | 222$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddd…9495backed Red Wings | 48c | 216.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…164ebacked Senators | 54c | 216.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8fa5backed Red Wings | 48c | 215.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…bc32backed Senators | 54c | 215.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…1a1fbacked Senators | 54c | 215$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…cb8ebacked Red Wings | 48c | 215$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…116cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 213.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…4b33backed Senators | 54c | 213.33$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Red Wings | 48c | 210.42$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f5…bc3ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…3f6dbacked Senators | 53c | 210.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…b0b6backed Senators | 53c | 209.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…a79bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 209.02$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…a699backed Red Wings | 49c | 208.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4960…8789backed Senators | 54c | 208.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Red Wings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…e1f4backed Senators | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Senators | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 46c | 166.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 153$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Senators | 53c | 142.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Senators | 52c | 142.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Senators | 53c | 130.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 51c | 127.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…f886backed Senators | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Red Wings | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…0a06backed Red Wings | 50c | 103.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…270ebacked Senators | 52c | 102.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe446…0d5fbacked Red Wings | 49c | 102.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…e877backed Senators | 54c | 102.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Red Wings | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Senators | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Red Wings | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…9a83backed Red Wings | 50c | 99.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…d053backed Senators | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…f1edbacked Senators | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015e…6404backed Red Wings | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Red Wings | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…ea56backed Senators | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…6102backed Senators | 54c | 94.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…e610backed Senators | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Senators | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…ddedbacked Red Wings | 48c | 94.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…c961backed Red Wings | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…8294backed Senators | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…ea10backed Red Wings | 50c | 90.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…42f4backed Senators | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3049backed Red Wings | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Red Wings | 61c | 85.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Red Wings | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…1bf2backed Red Wings | 48c | 80.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…6de4backed Senators | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b34…8fa8backed Red Wings | 50c | 74.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…7e80backed Senators | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.